Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 85.396511 95.398993 105.619477 116.813325 128.698477 140.912712 154.385305
2025-02-02 71.802816 86.420286 101.994314 119.700427 139.154356 159.768264 183.154411
2025-02-09 61.197762 78.128265 96.757801 118.528685 143.035304 169.552035 200.200203
2025-02-16 53.001097 71.455325 92.362922 117.389998 146.145462 177.800172 214.939184
2025-02-23 47.533982 67.294206 90.263212 118.325893 151.121838 187.732186 231.200627
2025-03-02 42.398361 63.014277 87.586043 118.195033 154.534593 195.619043 244.922887
2025-03-09 38.417491 59.784899 85.852281 118.898880 158.682894 204.160884 259.238758
2025-03-16 34.021980 55.652329 82.703109 117.625732 160.267481 209.553025 269.783248
2025-03-23 31.469171 53.710592 82.109091 119.319924 165.273663 218.851864 284.790692
2025-03-30 29.328109 52.141486 81.847874 121.310672 170.550963 228.412337 300.070392
2025-04-06 26.314908 49.127783 79.528382 120.556620 172.351533 233.749843 310.317853
2025-04-13 22.897495 45.259531 75.859039 117.890015 171.633473 235.946549 316.746560
2025-04-20 22.044584 45.123856 77.212156 121.747618 179.116823 248.141407 335.226867
2025-04-27 20.868634 44.410091 77.718176 124.466235 185.162587 258.609018 351.683919
2025-05-04 18.553803 41.744353 75.372960 123.302793 186.203197 262.903324 360.675835
2025-05-11 16.457012 39.237122 73.109503 122.130941 187.140622 267.003091 369.383022
2025-05-18 15.153058 37.918484 72.470460 123.090394 190.775222 274.406125 382.086096
2025-05-25 13.667565 36.156395 71.087000 122.956233 192.935902 279.942713 392.494157
2025-06-01 12.524093 34.887590 70.362751 123.677147 196.175398 286.804041 404.515681
2025-06-08 11.000028 32.773555 68.251671 122.373130 196.683218 290.191135 412.236485
2025-06-15 10.282183 32.103289 68.314881 124.108368 201.202779 298.632472 426.199487
2025-06-22 9.679712 31.600523 68.605626 126.147055 206.118780 307.579080 440.802880
2025-06-29 8.559519 29.940918 66.984218 125.374882 207.219850 311.647270 449.334741